Showers will continue to decrease in coverage and intensity today. South-southeast winds continue today and then easterly trades build back in this weekend and into next week. This will be a drier trade wind pattern but windward and mauka showers should return in the overnight to early morning hours.
Light southeast to south winds will prevail through this afternoon giving way to daytime seabreezes. Trade winds are expected to build back into the islands this evening through the weekend. Showers are expected to decrease over Maui County this the morning as mostly VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period for all islands.
AIRMET Sierra remains in effect for mountain obscuration for Maui County and will likely be cancelled by mid-morning. AIRMET Sierra for the Big Island has been cancelled as conditions improved early this morning.
There are no other AIRMETS currently in effect or expected later today.
Issued at 308 AM HST Fri Oct 9 2026
A low pressure system to the northwest of the Hawaiian Islands will result in moderate to fresh south to southeast winds and enhanced showers across the state that will begin to wane today. Trade winds nose in from the east this weekend and early next week for the eastern portions of Hawaiian waters, but a trough will remain west of the area keeping winds fairly light across the western half of the state. The initial return of easterly winds may be in the fresh range tonight and Saturday but they become moderate or weaker Sunday into the rest of the week.
Moderate, long period south swell will produce surf along south-facing shores close to, but below, advisory level today. This swell will fade gradually through the weekend, but another long-period reinforcement is set to arrive on Saturday and peak Sunday into Monday. Surf will remain just below advisory levels along south-facing shores during this time before declining by the middle of next week.
Moderate surf is also expected along north and west facing shores as a medium-period swell produced by low pressure to the northwest of the islands peaks this afternoon into tonight, before declining through the weekend. A smaller long period northwest swell is also forecast to move through the islands this weekend and fade by the beginning of next week. A swell slightly larger than the present one will arrive on Monday and peak Tuesday, boosting north shore surf again but staying below advisory levels. Surf along east facing shores will remain small as local winds remain fairly weak.
None.