Swell Matrix

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Honolulu Hi

918 am hst Sat Jun 20 2026

Synopsis

Light to moderate east-southeasterly winds will persist today, then take on an east northeasterly component by Sunday. Despite the slight variation in wind direction, the light to moderate background flow will bring a combination of mainly isolated windward and mauka showers along with sea breeze induced leeward and interior showers. Early to mid- next week, trade winds will strengthen to moderate to breezy levels, bringing a return to more consistent windward showers.

Aviation

Issued at 357 AM HST Sat Jun 20 2026

Stable weather conditions will continue through the weekend as strong subsidence aloft limits vertical cloud development over the islands. Light to moderate trade winds will persist as a diminishing stationary front far north of the islands keeps the high pressure ridge in a weakened state. Trade winds strengthen by Monday. No AIRMETs in effect.

Marine

Issued at 357 AM HST Sat Jun 20 2026

Light to moderate trades will hold for the next couple of days as a weak surface ridge remains northeast of the area and a front passes to the north. Trade winds will begin to increase Monday and trend upward through next week as the front dissipates and the ridge strengthens north of island chain.

A small, medium-period south swell will continue to fade while a new long-period south swell builds through the day. Surf along south and west-facing shores should trend upward by the afternoon and peak overnight before diminishing on Sunday. Multiple other small, medium to long period south and southeast swells also arrive through the middle of next week, which will maintain surf heights near seasonal averages.

Tiny surf will prevail along north-facing shores through most of the coming week as limited short-period energy reaches the islands from the north and northwest. Trade winds remain lighter than normal through the weekend, keeping surf along east-facing shores below average. East shore surf will begin to trend up early next week as trade winds increase across and upstream of the region.

Watches, Warnings, Advisories

None.

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