Key MESSAGE 1, SFC high pressure will continue to build in from the west, while troughing continues aloft. This will keep temps seasonable and mostly dry through late week. Showers and storms offshore will continue to push eastward this morning. Climo temps expected through late week, with drier airmass keeping it fairly pleasant for late July.
KEY MESSAGE 2, The next frontal system will impact the area this weekend into early next week, with increasing precip chances. Weak warm front expected to lift through the area Sat, while associated weakening sfc low approaches the Mid-Atlantic. Boundary will likely stall west of the area and/or dissipate through early next week, keeping the area unsettled with scattered showers and storms.
10z Thursday through Monday Pred VFR conditions expected through the period with light winds. Nw downslope flow brought a drier airmass into the region yday but given recent heavy rains, mostly clear skies overnight and light to calm winds, cannot completely rule out some brief patchy shallow ground fog pre dawn this morning. Href and REFS probs are below 10 percent for fog development but often don't capture shallow ground fog that well. Shallow patchy fog possible again early Fri morning.
Outlook (Friday through Monday): Much drier through the end of the week as high pres rebuilds. Periods of early morning fog and/or stratus possible each night. Periods of sub-VFR may develop Sun with increasing precip chances ahead of an approaching front.
High pressure will build in from the west the next few days, keeping light to occasionally moderate winds across the waters. Latest obs show light and variable winds 5-10 kt with seas 2-4 ft. Winds become N/NW 5-15 kt this morning, diminishing to 5-10 kt this afternoon. Variable winds 5-10 kt will continue overnight with 2-4 ft seas.
Outlook: Flow becomes more southerly late Fri and Fri night. Southerly winds will strengthen Sunday ahead of an approaching front. Sca conditions appear likely for portions of the coastal waters late Sunday into Monday.
Nc, none. Marine, none.
