High pressure dominates the region through early this week before another frontal system brings the next chance of rain late Tuesday through Wednesday. Cool and dry high pressure then builds in behind this system Thanksgiving through the rest of the week.
Until 6 pm this evening As of 6 AM Sun, No changes with AM update. Low stratus shield eroding from e to w acrs the ctrl portions of the FA, and skies will become mo sunny all areas this morning, with warm and pleasant temps expected this afternoon.
Prev disc, As of 3 AM Sun, Sfc cold front has pushed off the srn coast early this morning, with a few stray anafrontal showers hugging the Crystal Coast. High pressure ridges into the area Sunday with clearing skies after morning stratus dissipates. Temps will be closer to climo today, generally in the 65-70 degree range, with low 60s OBX adjacent to the cooler waters.
6 pm this evening through 6 am Monday As of 3 AM Sun, Reinforcing cold front will usher in an even cooler and drier airmass tonight, with temps dropping back into the upper 30s interior to mid 40s coast (around 50 OBX). Drier airmass and light nnwrly breezes will preclude any fog formation.
Monday through Saturday As of 3 AM Sun, Cool and dry high pressure will Monday and slides offshore on Tuesday. Temps will be near normal Monday and Monday night, but southerly return flow will bring warming temps on Tue through midweek with highs back into the 70s and lows in the 50s to near 60.
Tuesday through Wednesday, Next chance for rain arrives Tue eve and continues into Wed as a shortwave trough and attendant cold front approaches the area. Latest trends are unfortunately a bit drier with this frontal passage, as bulk of energy lifts north and west of ENC. Attm instability is quite meager, so only slght chc thunder mention in the fcst. Best chance for any showers/iso storms will be Wed afternoon just ahead of the main frontal passage.
Thanksgiving through Saturday, Much cooler and drier airmass build in, with coolest readings of the season possible. Thanksgiving Day will see a return back to 50s for max T's, with readings near freezing at night. Low 50s at best for highs on Fri, with lows well into the 20s for the mainland Fri night, with 30s to near 40 OBX zones.
12z Sunday through Thursday As of 645 AM Sun,
Key Messages
- Lingering IFR south of Highway 70 will give way to VFR for remainder of the period
Bank of low stratus is slowly eroding from the north and east as high pressure gradually builds in from the north. Ifr will linger for an hour or two longer at OAJ before increased mixing scours out clouds, but all terminals will be under clear skies and variable winds through the rest of the period.
Outlook: Predominantly VFR conditions expected through early this coming week as cooler high pressure builds into the region. Another frontal system will bring the next chances for precip mid week.
As of 3 AM Sun, Cold frontal passage has brought winds around to nrly in the 10-20 kt range with seas of 3-5 ft.
Today, Nrly flow eases and backs nwrly as high builds in. Seas subside to 2-4 ft. Tonight winds start out light in the 5-10 kt range, but then reinforcing front will push through late tonight with winds ramping back up to 10-20 kt with seas 3-5 ft. May see some ocnl gusts to 25 kt, especially over the warmer Gulf waters, but not frequent or widespread enough to warrant any SCA headlines.
Monday, Reinforcing high pres builds back in early in the week with winds and seas diminishing. Winds veer erly Mon night in the 5-10 kt range and seas 2-4 ft.
Tuesday through Friday, High pressure slides offshore with S to SWly return flow developing. Could see SCA conditions developing as early as Tuesday night across portions of the waters, mainly across the offshore waters near the Gulf Stream, ahead of a cold front. The winds will peak on Wed just ahead of the front moving through. The front is progged to push across the waters Wednesday night with NW post frontal flow in the 10-20 kt range, possibly gusting to 25 kt or higher for a time and inducing SCA headlines through the rest of the work week.
Nc, none. Marine, none.
