Key MESSAGE 1, Cold front has pushed offshore with SFC high pressure building in from the west, while troughing continues aloft. This will keep temps seasonable and mostly dry through late week. Iso showers/storms possible late this evening and into the first half of tonight, mainly across the northern portions of the area as shortwave rotates through the base of the upper trough. The next frontal system will impact the area this weekend into early next week, with increasing precip chances.
18z Wednesday through Monday Pred VFR conditions expected through the period with northerly flow in the wake of yesterday's cold front. A few isolated thunderstorms are possible across the Albemarle Peninsula but otherwise TAF sites should remain convection free. Given recent heavy rains, mostly clear skies overnight and little to no wind, cannot completely rule out some brief patchy ground fog pre- dawn Thursday despite copious dry air aloft. Confidence is too low to include in TAFs for now.
Outlook (Thursday through Sunday): Much drier behind the fropa through the end of the week as high pres rebuilds. Periods of early morning fog and/or stratus possible each night.
Latest obs show front is now outside of 60nm with W-NW winds 5-10kt across coastal waters with seas 2-4 ft in its wake. Benign boating conditions in place through the near term.
Outlook: Light to moderate NW winds continue Thu with 2-4 ft seas. Flow becomes more southerly late Fri and Fri night. Nothing significant worth noting through the remainder of the work week until SW winds strengthen ahead of the next system to impact the area this weekend.
Nc, none. Marine, none.
