, Issued at 1210 PM PST Sun Jan 25 2026 (This evening through Monday)
Another cloud-filled, mixed-sky day as upper level moisture advances ahead of a weak upper level shortwave trough currently off the coast of Mendocino/Humboldt county. Current radar is picking up on some echos aloft, but there are not expected to make it to the ground as rain, especially the massive block of dry air in the mid-levels up to about 23 kft. One thing this might actually bring us that you'll want to pay attention to is a wonderful sunset this evening, if you're in an area without low clouds.
..issued at 1210 PM PST Sun Jan 25 2026 (Monday night through next Saturday)
A couple more chilly nights ahead before another approaching shortwave trough promotes moist, southerly flow, which will bring temps up a few degrees for overnight lows and afternoon highs. This shortwave brings the only confident chance for measurable rain within the 7 day forecast, and amounts have been trending lower with each issuance. By late Tuesday, a 120 kt jet streak downstream of the trough axis becomes the driving force to lift the system towards the north. This likely thwarts any meaningful rain chances across much of our region. As of now, it looks like the North Bay counties are the only areas that would get anything worth mentioning (0.05-0.10"), and elsewhere may only see as much as a hundredth or two. Most of this looks to take place Wednesday morning. After that, ensemble cluster analysis exhibits high confidence that the rest of the week will remain dry. The next chance of rain doesn't enter the picture until the 1st of February where a deeper upper level trough may swing through the EPac, but uncertainty is high in N-S placement. As such, there is not much confidence in early Feb rain at this point.
(00z TAFS) Issued at 341 PM PST Sun Jan 25 2026
Solid cloud deck overhead, but thankfully above 12k feet. Potential issues for tonight will be some fog for KSTS, KAPC, KVLK. Highest conf will be for KSTS with IFR conditions late tonight. Otherwise, VFR conditions.
Vicinity of SFO, Light offshore. Will keep offshore prevailing through taf period. 20-30% chc for brief onshore push late Monday afternoon.
SFO Bridge Approach, some haze could cause slantwise vis issues at times through this evening.
Monterey Bay Terminals, VFR
(tonight through next Friday) Issued at 341 PM PST Sun Jan 25 2026
Light to gentle southerly breezes will continue through early Monday. Winds will increase to moderate breezes by Monday afternoon with the strongest winds north of Point Reyes. Winds diminish and become northerly on Wednesday. Moderate seas will prevail through Tuesday. Conditions deteriorate Wednesday as seas build to become rough to very rough.
Ca, None. PZ, None.