, Issued at 1158 AM PDT Thu May 28 2026 (This afternoon through Friday)
Rain showers prevail across the Central Coast this afternoon with a 10-20% probability of thunderstorms. However, the widespread cloud cover across this region may limit the amount of surface heating and thus limiting surface based CAPE. However, we are still expecting around 100-200 J/kg of CAPE through this afternoon and early evening across the Central Coast. As the mid/upper level and surface lows shift inland late this evening and into tonight, drying conditions are expected to return to the region. However, cannot rule out some very light rain across the North Bay and Bay Area tonight into Friday morning, yet rainfall amounts generally will be less than 0.05".
Dry weather is expected on Friday as the mid/upper level low continues to shift eastward. Thus, expecting maximum temperatures on Tuesday to range from the upper 50s to middle 60s near the coast and adjacent inland valleys and upper 60s to middle 70s in the most interior areas with a mix of Sun and clouds.
..issued at 1158 AM PDT Thu May 28 2026 (Friday night through next Wednesday)
A gradual warming and drying trend will kick off this weekend and continue into early next week as more of a zonal flow develops over the Bay Area and Central Coast. By the weekend after this one, a trough of low pressure is being picked up in the clusters. Thus, looks to be a progressive pattern with no strong ridging expected in the extended forecast.
(18z TAFS) Issued at 1111 AM PDT Thu May 28 2026
Mixed bag across the terminals this morning thanks to a passing system across the region. Bay Area and N Bay terminals are seeing signs of SCT to clearing out while SJC and Monterey Bay area are still experiencing -RA with lower CIGs. Conditions will gradually improve through out the day across all terminals as the low pressure exits the area. Some residual moisture will lingering keeping mainly VFR to occasionally MVFR CIGs. Lower conf portion of the forecast are the winds. Since the low is spinning directly over the region they'll be switching/shifting through out the day.
Vicinity of SFO, Challenging start given wet runways and SE flow. Cams show some blue sky arriving with drying on the ground, but SE flow will persist. 18Z TAF will hold onto to the SE flow through at least this afternoon before switching westerly late this afternoon.
SFO Bridge Approach, Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals, Rain, lower CIGs, and BR/FG will impact SNS and MRY though this afternoon. Gradual clearing expected later today with VFR early tonight. As cooling overnight commences MVFR CIGs are likely to redevelop.
(today through Tuesday) Issued at 905 AM PDT Thu May 28 2026
A weak system moving through the region today will bring light to moderate winds with lingering showers through the day. Moderate to fresh northwest winds develop Friday, then strong to near gale force northerly winds return over the weekend and continue into next week. Rough seas persist across the outer waters while seas abate to moderate in the inner waters. Wave heights build as winds restrengthen with wave heights between 10 to 12 feet expected this weekend into early next week.
Issued at 1125 AM PDT Thu May 28 2026
A Beach Hazard Statement remains in effect through 10 PM this evening for beaches from Sonoma through Monterey counties. A long period swell will result in a energetic surf zone today. Latest buoy obs show a longer period of 18-22 seconds entering the coastal waters. The longer period will produce increased risk of sneaker waves and strong rip currents. It goes without saying, but stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure. Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous surf and NEVER turn your back on the ocean.
Ca, Beach Hazards Statement through late tonight for CAZ006-505-509- 529-530.
PZ, Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Friday to 9 AM PDT Saturday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 PM Friday to 9 AM PDT Saturday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM PDT this afternoon for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
