, Issued at 223 PM PST Mon Nov 10 2025 (This evening through Tuesday)
Another warm and dry day is forecast as afternoon temperatures reach the low-to-mid 80s across the interior and approach (may exceed) 90 degrees F across typically hotter spots across interior Central Coast. Elsewhere, expecting upper 70s to low 80s away from the immediate coast where mid-to-upper 60s are likely. The ridge axis will shift eastward in the next 24 hours ahead of an approaching trough.
High cloud cover will become more widespread tonight and is likely to limit the amount of cooling overnight. Thus, much of the region tonight into Tuesday morning will cool into the 50s, potentially the upper 40s in the wind sheltered valleys. There remains weak offshore flow in the higher elevations where temperatures are forecast to cool into the mid 60s to lower 70s. Low clouds are also forecast to return to coastal areas and into the Salinas Valley.
Tuesday will begin the cool down, some 2 to 7 degrees as onshore flow becomes more widespread. However, these temperatures are still 5 to 15 degrees above seasonal averages. Again, passing high level clouds will persist through much of the day along with mid level clouds.
..issued at 223 PM PST Mon Nov 10 2025 (Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning is when we are expecting light to moderate rain to begin in the coastal ranges of the Bay Area and Central Coast. This will be the result of orographic lift as the atmospheric river approaches and southerly winds begin to increase. Rain will increase in coverage and intensity throughout the day and especially so into Wednesday night. Ahead of the front, southerly winds will increase with gusts to 35 to 45 mph with stronger gusts along the coast and at the higher elevations (potentially in excess of 60 mph), especially through favored gaps and passes. The stronger gusts will be just ahead of the frontal passage between 10 PM Wednesday and 10 AM Thursday. There will be some instability ahead of and in wake of the frontal passage with surface based CAPE reaching between 100-300 J/kg by Thursday late morning and into the early afternoon.
Isolated to scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible throughout the remainder of the day on Thursday before tapering off by Friday morning. From 4 AM Wednesday through 4 AM Friday, the regions coastal ranges can expect the see 2-3" of rainfall, 1-2" in the higher terrain elsewhere in the region and the North Bay, 1-1.5" in the City of San Francisco, and generally less than 1" in the interior valleys and around the Monterey Bay region. There is the potential for less rainfall within the typically rain shadowed valleys (perhaps significantly less rainfall).
Saturday looks to be mostly dry as a weak shortwave ridge builds in across the region. A troughing pattern returns by Sunday and into the next week. This is captured by the 6-10 Day Outlooks indicating precipitation leaning toward above average and temperatures leaning below average.
(18z TAFS) Issued at 1009 AM PST Mon Nov 10 2025
VFR through the TAF period. Expect light to moderate winds for the afternoon that will reduce for most areas into the evening and into the night. Widespread light winds linger into Tuesday afternoon before moderate southwest winds begin to affect the coast and the bays.
Vicinity of SFO, VFR through the TAF period. Winds stay light and variable into the mid afternoon before becoming moderate and northwesterly. Winds reduce into the early night and become light and variable. Moderate west to southwest winds return Tuesday afternoon.
SFO Bridge Approach, Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals, VFR through the TAF period. MRY sees light and variable winds turn moderate and northwesterly into the afternoon. SNS goes from moderate southeast winds to northwest winds in the mid afternoon. Winds become light into the early night.
(today through Saturday) Issued at 856 AM PST Mon Nov 10 2025
Light to moderate winds continue across the waters with flow in the southern waters, but winds turn northerly across all waters by early this evening. Unsettled weather returns midweek with increasing southerly winds. These winds, combined with a building NW swell, will generate rough seas across the waters. Winds are expected to decrease Friday, but the larger swell continues to build with seas up to 15 feet before diminishing through the weekend.
Ca, None. PZ, None.
