, Issued at 1017 PM PDT Fri Sep 11 2026 (Tonight through Saturday night)
Satellite imagery reveals something pretty peculiar for this time of year, so soon after the marine layer redeveloped after a couple days of heat: clear skies across most of the Bay Area and Central Coast, as a weak frontal boundary helped to scour out the marine layer clouds over the afternoon and evening hours. Observations from the Bodega Bay profiler suggest that the marine layer itself is still there, hovering around 1000-1500 feet, so it remains to be seen if any of the remaining stratus, most notably the patch on the eastern side of Monterey Bay, can linger through the night, and whether any new stratus can form overnight. Looking at the high resolution output, it doesn't seem likely and many of us may see the skies remain clear overnight.
A strong cutoff low hovers off the coast of the Pacific Northwest, helping contribute to the cooling trend that started Thursday night and continued through the following day. Through Saturday the cutoff low is expected to inch its way into the state of Oregon, helping to tighten the local pressure gradient and building breezy and strong onshore winds in the afternoon and evening hours on Saturday before winds ease Sunday morning. Wind gusts will generally reach 25 to 35 miles per hour, with favored gaps, passes, valleys, and coastal areas seeing gusts to 45 miles per hour.
Morning lows will hover in the middle 50s to lower 60s for the lower elevations, and into the middle 60s for the higher elevations. Afternoon highs range from the upper 70s to middle 80s for the inland valleys, up to the 90s in the warmest spots of the far interior Central Coast, the upper 60s to the middle 70s close to the Bays, and the lower to middle 60s along the Pacific coast.
..issued at 1017 PM PDT Fri Sep 11 2026 (Sunday through next Friday)
The trough axis continues moving eastwards Sunday into the early part of next week, helping to relax the pressure gradient and lower the wind gusts for Sunday. Despite the trough axis moving into the northern Rockies and Plains, some troughing influence will remain across the West Coast, keeping temperatures near to slightly below seasonal averages. The pattern will remain remarkably stable through the remainder of the 7-day outlook. Highs will range from the middle 70s to the middle 80s inland, the upper 60s into the 70s close to the Bays, and the lower to middle 60s along the Pacific coast. Low clouds will likely develop overnight into the morning, while breezy onshore winds will set up in the afternoon and evening hours. Longer- term outlooks suggest a lean towards temperatures above seasonal averages and precipitation totals near to above seasonal averages towards the latter part of September.
(06z TAFS) Issued at 1017 PM PDT Fri Sep 11 2026
Much of the region has cleared out through the afternoon and evening hours with a lingering patch of stratus on the east side of Monterey Bay slowly diminishing over the last hour. Confidence in stratus development away from the immediate coast has dropped and would depend on radiational cooling overnight, making the situation difficult to forecast. Highest confidence in stratus development lies on the western side of the San Mateo Peninsula near HAF, the Monterey Bay region, and to a lesser extent, the plain around STS where scattered high clouds may complicate the radiational cooling. Otherwise VFR through the night, with light to gentle winds into Saturday morning. Moderate winds with strong gusts will develop Saturday afternoon. Low confidence in wind speeds and stratus development beginning Saturday evening, as strong winds aloft could mix down and keep winds breezy and stratus at bay well into the night.
Vicinity of SFO, Moderate to high confidence that VFR conditions persist through the TAF period. Light to gentle northwest winds persist overnight before strong and gusty winds come to the terminal Saturday afternoon into the evening.
SFO Bridge Approach, Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals, Low confidence in the stratus forecast for the overnight period with a patch of stratus trying to hang on to the north of the terminals. Considered VFR TAFs throughout but can't rule out a burst of radiationally-driven clouds in the early morning hours. Any stratus that does form clears out Saturday morning after sunrise with breezy northwest winds developing in the afternoon hours.
(tonight through next Thursday) Issued at 1017 PM PDT Fri Sep 11 2026
Hazardous conditions for small craft prevail late this weekend through the middle of next week. A moderate to fresh northwest breeze will continue to increase to a strong breeze by early Sunday and continue into the early work week. Near gale force gusts to occasional gale force gusts are expected along the inner waters from Pigeon Point to Point Piedras Blancas, the Monterey Bay, and in portions of the San Francisco and San Pablo Bays. Moderate seas will build, becoming rough by Monday in response to the stronger winds.
Ca, None. PZ, Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Saturday to 9 AM PDT Sunday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm- SF Bay N of Bay Bridge.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM Saturday to 3 AM PDT Sunday for Mry Bay.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT Sunday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT Saturday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Gale Warning from 9 PM Saturday to 9 AM PDT Sunday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT Saturday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.
Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Saturday to 9 AM PDT Sunday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM.
