Moderate trades deliver showers windward and mauka through the weekend. A few afternoon showers are possible as well, for south shores and leeward sections today and Thursday.
Moderate trades expected through the forecast period. Expecting mainly scattered low clouds and showers. Brief MVFR conditions are possible in passing showers, but VFR should prevail across the state.
Issued at 347 AM HST Wed Jul 15 2026 High pressure far north of the islands will maintain a trade wind pattern, however as the high has weakened and lifted away from the islands, trade winds are not quite as strong. Winds across the coastal waters remain below Small Craft Advisory levels. Winds could rebound Thursday into the weekend as the high sinks southward, tightening the pressure gradient over the islands and bringing Small Craft Advisory winds back to the typical windy waters.
A small bump in the otherwise fading medium-period southwest swell (around 2.5 ft with a 13 second period) should bring a slight increase in south surf today, particularly this morning. The southwest will return to a gradually decline by tonight and continue through the rest of the week. A series of overlapping small south and southwest swells will maintain small south shore surf, with a larger south swell expected early next week.
Surf along east-facing shores will be slightly below seasonal averages through Thursday with lighter trade winds. Surf may then climb back up somewhat as trades strengthen through the weekend.
A series of small, long to medium period west to west-northwest swells generated by former Super Typhoon Bavi will be possible throughout the rest of the week. Otherwise, no significant north or northwest swells are expected.
None.
