High pressure moves overhead today with moderating conditions expected. High pressure then slides offshore tomorrow and into early next week with a warming trend continuing. A cold front will cross the area later Thursday with temperatures returning back to near normal behind it.
Until 6 pm this evening As of 7 AM Sat, High pressure will move overhead today, with below normal but moderating conditions anticipated. Skies will initially be clear, but a passing upper level wave will produce areas of thick high based cirrus in the afternoon, leading to overcast conditions. Low level thicknesses support temperatures rising into the upper 40s to around 50 for most of Eastern NC, while a melting snowpack may keep areas north of US 264 a couple of degrees cooler.
6 pm this evening through 6 am Sunday As of 7 AM Sat, As high pressure shifts offshore tonight, a weakness will develop between it and another area of high pressure over the Tennessee Valley. This weakness, an inverted coastal trough will likely pass by harmlessly across the nearshore coastal waters overnight. Forecast trends continue to indicate that any showers from this feature will remain offshore.
Far removed from the trough inland, good radiational conditions will eventually develop once skies clear this evening. Expect lows to reach the low to mid 20s inland, and the 30s along the coast, with the coldest temps likely over areas that retain a snowpack (this may not be an extensive area after melting today).
Sunday through Friday As of 230 AM Sat, Mainly dry weather expected through midweek as high pres settles into the Deep South. This will bring a warming trend, with temps near normal on Sunday, then above normal Mon through Wed. Cold front passes with shower chances on Thursday, then temps back to near climo behind it.
Sunday, Sprawling high pressure will build over the Eastern US through this weekend. The cold will moderate by Sunday with temps returning back to near climo, in the 50s, for all areas. With the dry airmass in place and light/calm winds at night, readings will still be chilly, in the 20s away from the beaches, and 30s on the beaches.
Monday through Wednesday, High pressure will settle into the Deep South, while hts/thicknesses rise to anomalous levels. This will be abnormally warm weather for ENC, with highs each day in the 60s (55-60 for the immediate beachfront). Dry weather will also persist with the high dominating. A weak coastal low is expected to remain well offshore, though may spin a few clouds into the OBX zones.
Thursday, A cold front is forecast to cross the area. This will bring a chance for showers to the area but again most of the guidance is indicating only light amounts of rainfall which will do little to ease the drought conditions. Pops remain in the 30-40% range Thu afternoon and evening. Highs will cont in the 60s.
Friday, In the wake of the cold front, temps will cool back down, but only to near climo readings, which for late Feb are in the 55-62 degree range. Dry conditions will once again dominate late week and into the weekend, building on the drought conditions in place.
12z Saturday through Wednesday Through Sunday morning As of 7 AM Sat, VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period with dry high pressure over the region. Clear skies and calm winds will continue the rest of the night. High based clouds will move over the area this afternoon, with winds remaining very light.
Sunday through Wednesday As of 230 AM Sat, Expecting mainly VFR through Wed with high pres dominating. Winds will be light through mid week. A cold front passes through on Thu bringing potential for TEMPO sub- VFR, though widespread heavy rain does not appear likely.
Through Saturday night As of 7 AM Sat, High pressure will move overhead today keeping winds light. As a result, great boating conditions are expected through tonight. Winds will steadily weaken out of the north this morning, and then become light and variable the rest of the day. By tonight, winds will turn to the west and northwest at 5-10 kts. 3-5 ft seas will linger this morning, but then seas will subside to 2-4 ft through tonight.
Sunday through Wednesday As of 230 AM Sat, Excellent boating conditions expected through mid week as high pres will reside just south of the region, bringing light swrly winds and seas in the 2-3 ft range. Thursday, swrly winds may inc to SCA levels over the Gulf Stream waters ahead of a cold front that will pass through Thu night.
Nc, none. Marine, none.
